***WHAT!? It loses money even on success on the fourth or fifth attempt? The goal of a Martingale is usually to cover all previous losses and win some small amount, so this system is pretty weird. There are five ways that the roll can be six there are five ways that a roll can be an eight and there are six ways that a roll can be seven: Okay, so the first thing that we have to start with is the probability of the seven coming up compared to the other two numbers, as those are the only results that matter: What I will do is calculate for you the expected loss of each individual run of the system and then you can do as you wish with that information. The number of rolls per hour typically negatively correlates with the number of players (or, more to the point, the number of side bets to deal with) at the table. RoR basically refers to busting out.įor example, playing eight hour sessions on a buy-in of four million dollars using the exact system you described, I can pretty confidently say his risk of ruin is zero.Īnyway, how much he loses per hour even depends on how many rolls per hour are taking place at the table. You would first have to offer a starting bankroll in order for someone to calculate the risk of ruin for you. He told me he's played 49 hours so far and is up about $1.8K without having to place any $204 bets yet.Ĭan anyone sim this system to calculate his risk of ruin for an 8 hour session and his hourly EV in the long run? The Martingale starts with $6 bets and then progresses to $18, $42, $90, and $204 bets. My friend just told me about an interesting craps system that involves Martingaling the 6 & 8 and praying the 7 doesn't hit 5 times without any 6 or 8.

Craps betting 6 and 8